77314 - MATHEMATICAL MODELLING OF INFECTION DYNAMICS |
Período da turma: | 03/07/2017 a 08/07/2017
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Descrição: | Course outline
Day 1: General introduction to mathematical modelling & to key concepts for infectious diseases in livestock Lectures: • Introduction to key modelling concepts and modelling tools (1.5h-2h) • Infectious disease fundamentals (1.5h) Tutorials: • Group project: Developing conceptual models to investigate the impact of diverse control strategies on infection dynamics (1.5h) • Introduction to R (Optional) (2h) Day 2: Modelling epidemics Lectures: • Introduction to epidemiological models (deterministic / stochastic, different types of compartmental models) • Epidemiological models for genetically heterogeneous populations Tutorials: • Simulating epidemics • Simulating impact of selection on disease transmission Day 3: Mathematical models of within host infection dynamics Lectures: • Statistical model of viremia profiles, example PRRS (1/2h) • Process based models, example PRRS (1h) Tutorials: • Exploring viremia profiles (1/2h) • Exploring process based models of within host infection dynamics; example PRRS (1h) Day 4: Statistical inference Lectures: • Introduction to statistical inference (1h) • Bayesian methods and MCMC (1h) • Applications to infectious disease data (1h) Tutorials: • Statistical inference of epidemiological parameters (1.5h) • Bayesian non-linear hierarchical modelling of within-host infection profiles (1.5h) Day 5: Current research in Bayesian methods for infectious disease modelling |
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Carga Horária: |
24 horas |
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Tipo: | Obrigatória | ||||
Vagas oferecidas: | 21 | ||||
Ministrantes: |
Osvaldo Anacleto Junior |
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